Arakni, Huntsman
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Naufal Nazrein (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zheng Wei Tham (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Tang (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ee Keat Ng (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ivan Low (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ivan Low (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Colin Tang (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Zyggy Starlight | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.