Ira, Scarlet Revenger
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 6-2-0
38%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Nah (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Raja Afiq (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30
Round 4: Win vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
Round 9: Win vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
12th • 5-2-0
71%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jun Kheng Ong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charles Hasley (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Amir Hamzah Abdul Qadir Jilani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30
Round 9: Loss vs Keith Yong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
30th • 3-3-1
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Aloycious Rijanie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elson Wong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 36:64
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Johannas Mohd Yusof (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 77:23
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kyle Pasion Ganesan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Round 10: Win vs Eric Ong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Draw |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
28th • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Calvin Mah HP (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Muhammad Abdul Rahman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Julien Lau (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adrian Dewind (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joses Jolio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jamal Armand (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
Round 10: Win vs E Wei Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stephen Hii (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zodie Mohamed Hanafiah (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30
Round 3: Loss vs Kar Hoe See (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs M Naim W Mahmood (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Low (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kevin Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Moses Jason (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Nah (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
95:5
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elmer Lim (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 93:7
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Moses Jason (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 95% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-1
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Keith Yong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Lexiss Pong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raihana Rahim (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ban lee Lim (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Draw |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.