National Championship 2026 - Malaysia - Puffin, Hightail (CC)

Puffin, Hightail

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ee Keat Ng

27th • 5-2-0

43%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Pu Zhengyuan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 83:17

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Zheng Wei Tham (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Johannas Mohd Yusof (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 31:69

35:65

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Afiq Danial (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.08
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	65%	Win	✓	0.38	0.29
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R8	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R9	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.63

Johannas Mohd Yusof

53rd • 3-4-0

57%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ethan Mah (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

85:15

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stephen Hii (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 83:17

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Abdul Hazif Bin Abdul Gaffar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ee Keat Ng (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Kenn Lau (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 23:77

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

80:20

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Yuen Peir Teo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.08
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.52
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R9	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R10	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Loss	✓	0.78	-

Avex Lim Lian Hui

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.4

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Raja Afiq (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ivan Dinnesh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 37:63

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Farhan Ghazi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Syahmi Shahrin

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.2

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Muhammad Abdul Rahman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tai Yan Han (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kar Hoe See (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.53
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.70

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.