Jarl Vetreiði at National Championship 2026 - Malaysia
Jarl Vetreiði
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 8-1-0
44%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
4.2
Surp
5.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs M Naim W Mahmood (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Puravin Veerasamy (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 83:17
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Elden Kang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
Round 4: Win vs Kai Jun Cheong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Justin Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 9: Win vs Aimran Kamarul Bahrin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jun Kheng Ong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
10th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ivan Low (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zheng Wei Tham (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Imran Ariff (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
15:85
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Colin Tang (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
36th • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Khairul Asraf Asmady Kabisa (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Daniel Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs yong Jia jer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Bonaventure (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Zheng Wei Tham (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
21st • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wen Yu Thye (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs CK Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Soon Lee Koay (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julien Lau (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Aimran Kamarul Bahrin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 63:37
Round 10: Loss vs Kyle Pasion Ganesan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
50th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs CYK Lionel (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pu Zhengyuan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Colin Tang (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 14:86
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Raja Afiq (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Round 9: Loss vs Tan Eugene (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Amir Hamzah Abdul Qadir Jilani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
51st • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CK Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ban lee Lim (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70
Round 3: Loss vs Shaqeel Danial (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ven Han Choke (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Muhammad Abdul Rahman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shaun Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Ban lee Lim (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Syahmi Shahrin (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shun-Lok Hoi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Loss vs Tan Eugene (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs E Wei Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Round 4: Loss vs Stephen Hii (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-1
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Akuma What (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Loss vs WEI JIE CHAI (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuen Peir Teo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Draw |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 30% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.