Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Elson Wong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mohamed Ayman (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Syahmi Shahrin (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyle Pasion Ganesan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ivan Low (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Joses Jolio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elden Kang (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dominic Chong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shaqeel Danial (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Azel Tan (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Soon Lee Koay (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aimran Kamarul Bahrin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Puravin Veerasamy (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 1-2-1
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Tang (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Danial Hakimi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Shun-Lok Hoi (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elmer Lim (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Zyggy Starlight | 75% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Chin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs M Naim W Mahmood (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Azel Tan (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Danial Hakimi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Draw |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrian Dewind (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Syahmi Shahrin (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs yong Jia jer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Iryan Suhaili (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Draw |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs ian tham (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74
Round 3: Loss vs Elson Wong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zodie Mohamed Hanafiah (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.