Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2026 - Malaysia
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs Kai Jun Cheong (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Barry Sangabo Sirimanne (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
Round 4: Loss vs Ivan Low (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 8: Win vs Calvin Mah HP (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
Round 10: Win vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Keith Yong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
5th • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Farhan Ghazi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aimran Kamarul Bahrin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Win vs Boon Hao Lee (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Julien Lau (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Round 9: Loss vs Colin Tang (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Keith Yong (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
9th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wai Lum Choong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Abdul Hazif Bin Abdul Gaffar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zaid Nazri (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Farhan Ghazi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Round 9: Win vs Shaun Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Julien Lau (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
11th • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Adam Dewind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Liang Choong Poh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Nah (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Imran Ariff (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Naufal Nazrein (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
29th • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
3.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nasiruddin Nordin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ven Han Choke (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adrian Dewind (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raja Afiq (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs WEI JIE CHAI (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Justin Yong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
42nd • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ji Timm Lee (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kean Hau Low (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Muhammad Abdul Rahman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Calvin Mah HP (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
58th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Avex Lim Lian Hui (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Loss vs Ivan Low (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Farhan Ghazi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Adam Dewind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Akuma What (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
49th • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ivan Dinnesh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mohd Imran Jamil (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Mah (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Abdul Hazif Bin Abdul Gaffar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
55th • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zheng Wei Tham (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Afiq Danial (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wen Yu Thye (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Ong (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kyle Pasion Ganesan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Zodie Mohamed Hanafiah (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
59th • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jamal Armand (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Win vs yong Jia jer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Puravin Veerasamy (Aurora, Legacy of Tempest) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Imran Ariff (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Moses Jason (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Bonaventure (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Legacy of Tempest | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
1.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Elmer Lim (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Zyggy Starlight | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.5
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lexiss Pong (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 74:26
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs ian tham (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yi Jun Loh (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Abdul Hazif Bin Abdul Gaffar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.