Zyggy Starlight at National Championship 2026

Zyggy Starlight

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Colin Tang

2nd • 8-2-0

50%

Meta

+3.1

Perf

4.7

Surp

6.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50

80:20

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Adam Dewind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 82:18

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Naufal Nazrein (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

25:75

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jun Kheng Ong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

80:20

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 82:18

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Julien Lau (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

50% (5/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

6.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.72	0.18
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.30
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.11
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.76
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Win	✗	0.73	1.68
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	80%	Win	✓	0.18	0.29
R11	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.50
R12	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.20
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Barry Sangabo Sirimanne

dropped • 2-3-1

17%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.7

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shaqeel Danial (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shaun Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 27:73

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs E Wei Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Afiq Danial (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.22
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.46
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Draw	✗	0.39	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Elmer Lim

dropped • 0-4-0

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wen Yu Thye (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 27:73

5:95

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 7:93

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 28:72

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.