National Championship 2026 - Malaysia - Zyggy Starlight (CC)

Zyggy Starlight

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Colin Tang

2nd • 8-2-0

40%

Meta

+3.2

Perf

4.7

Surp

6.1

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Daniel Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52

85:15

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Adam Dewind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Naufal Nazrein (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

30:70

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jun Kheng Ong (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory

85:15

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Ji Timm Lee (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 86:14

40:60

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Julien Lau (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Kelvin Chen (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 48:52

40:60

R13 CC

Round 13: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

40% (4/10 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

4.7 total deviation

Difficulty

6.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Win	✗	0.76	0.21
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.32
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.09
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.89
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Win	✗	0.72	1.64
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	85%	Win	✓	0.14	0.22
R11	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.44
R12	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.52	1.27
R13	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Barry Sangabo Sirimanne

dropped • 2-3-1

17%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.9

Surp

0.7

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shaqeel Danial (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Shaun Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Liew Kai Fai (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs E Wei Lim (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 40:60

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Afiq Danial (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.26
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.46
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Draw	✗	0.40	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Elmer Lim

dropped • 0-4-0

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wen Yu Thye (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72

5:95

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Lee (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 7:93

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Chan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

0% (0/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.28	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.