Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at National Championship

Oscilio, Constella Intelligence

9 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Adrian Dewind

23rd • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tai Yan Han (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Pasion Ganesan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sir Boltyn B (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Calvin Mah HP (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.10
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.53
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.51
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.87
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.97
R10	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-

Joses Jolio

14th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Wai Lum Choong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 58:42

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Sir Boltyn B (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Julien Lau (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.23
R3	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.45
R8	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.46	1.01
R9	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R10	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.39	1.00

Muhammad Abdul Rahman

45th • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

3.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Syahmi Shahrin (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sir Boltyn B (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Akuma What (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Amir Hamzah Abdul Qadir Jilani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Zodie Mohamed Hanafiah (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.53
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.14
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	1.33
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Afiq Danial

46th • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Aloycious Rijanie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Bonaventure (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs CK Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Barry Sangabo Sirimanne (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Ee Keat Ng (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.22
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.14
R9	CC	Zyggy Starlight	45%	Win	✗	0.54	1.44
R10	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Amir Hamzah Abdul Qadir Jilani

57th • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.6

Diff

80:20

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Raihana Rahim (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 79:21

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nasiruddin Nordin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Pasion Ganesan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Aimran Kamarul Bahrin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Muhammad Abdul Rahman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs CK Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Adam Dewind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.05
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.29
R10	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-

CK Lee

dropped • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zodie Mohamed Hanafiah (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Afiq Danial (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Amir Hamzah Abdul Qadir Jilani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.17
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R4	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ng cheng yang

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.9

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Shua Shua (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 70:30

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Imran Ariff (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Shaun Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Pu Zhengyuan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Abdul Hazif Bin Abdul Gaffar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.10
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R8	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Ethan Mah

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.0

Surp

1.4

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Johannas Mohd Yusof (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43

80:20

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yuen Peir Teo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Ong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kean Hau Low (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	80%	Win	✓	0.22	0.18
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.58	1.25

Pu Zhengyuan

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Ee Keat Ng (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Ong (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Dewind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Ng cheng yang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Puffin, Hightail	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.28
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.