Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
9 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
23rd • 5-2-0
86%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tai Yan Han (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kyle Pasion Ganesan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sir Boltyn B (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Calvin Mah HP (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
14th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Louis Mook (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wai Lum Choong (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hariz Hamdan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kai Young Tan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Sir Boltyn B (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
Round 9: Loss vs Julien Lau (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Rocky, Weng Khuan Lim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
45th • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Syahmi Shahrin (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Sir Boltyn B (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Tan (Nickay) (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Akuma What (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Amir Hamzah Abdul Qadir Jilani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Zodie Mohamed Hanafiah (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Vincent Khang Wei Chu (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
46th • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Josiah Cheah (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zong Sheng Tan (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aloycious Rijanie (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Bonaventure (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs CK Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Barry Sangabo Sirimanne (Zyggy Starlight) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ee Keat Ng (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Zyggy Starlight | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
57th • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raihana Rahim (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nasiruddin Nordin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle Pasion Ganesan (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aimran Kamarul Bahrin (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Muhammad Abdul Rahman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs CK Lee (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Adam Dewind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
83%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zodie Mohamed Hanafiah (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Peng Joon (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
Round 3: Loss vs Hazeeq Hilman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jun Loong Wong (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Afiq Danial (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Amir Hamzah Abdul Qadir Jilani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shua Shua (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Imran Ariff (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Shaun Cheah (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pu Zhengyuan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Abdul Hazif Bin Abdul Gaffar (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Johannas Mohd Yusof (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuen Peir Teo (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 77:23
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Ong (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kean Hau Low (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ee Keat Ng (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Ong (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Dewind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ng cheng yang (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.