Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
33rd • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mohamed Ayman (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Chris Saw (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nitya Kalaichelvan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Harpreet Singh Dhillon (Dash I/O) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Andrew Ang (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Moses Jason (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 73:27
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tan Eugene (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.