Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
43rd • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Liang Choong Poh (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Khairul Asraf Asmady Kabisa (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Imran Ariff (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kiran Ganesan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 50:50
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jamal Armand (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 9: Win vs Adam Dewind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs WEI JIE CHAI (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.