Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Battle Hardened: Portland 2026
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 8-1-0
78%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kyle James (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eris Henry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Alex Hamilton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Luke Putz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 8: Win vs Corwin Benton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jude Cornett (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
5th • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs nathan ericksen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Win vs Holly Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs William Donnelly (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sean Cowan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Clements (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
19th • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Victor Marquez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sean Judd (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kaden Schoonover (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kyle James (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
29th • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs george flete (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Charlton Smith ()
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs aiden anable (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Neet (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jon Cardenas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | 50% | Loss | |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Revlis Go (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Loss vs Abtin RAVANIPOUR (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.