Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Battle Hardened: Portland

Cindra, Dracai of Retribution

4 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Corwin Benton

3rd • 7-1-0

62%

Meta

+3.0

Perf

4.1

Surp

3.6

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Alex Fraser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 46:54

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tim Chambers (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lauren Zacharakis (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alex Hamilton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Jude Cornett (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Abtin RAVANIPOUR (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.14
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.32
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.31
R4	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.45
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.74
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.00
R8	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Kaden Schoonover

9th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Catherine Levine (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alexander Burnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tim Chambers (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tyler Kearney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.16
R2	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.47
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.85
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.65
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Ben Platt

34th • 3-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Andre Judd (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Mark Shanafelt (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Eric Norris (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Troy Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs sean Burke (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Nate Davis (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.31
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.51
R5	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Jon Cardenas

36th • 3-3-0

50%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.8

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tristin Sedlacek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Justin Schrudder (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 38:62

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs sean Burke (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Troy Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.43
R3	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.62	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.64
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.