Kassai of the Golden Sand at Battle Hardened: Portland 2026
Kassai of the Golden Sand
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
47th • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Catherine Levine (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Troy Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Will Prater (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeffrey Ouellette (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 32:68
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jason Frye (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.