Battle Hardened: Portland 2026 - Fang, Dracai of Blades (CC)

Fang, Dracai of Blades

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

sean Burke

30th • 3-3-0

17%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sung Kang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

15:85

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Cary Young (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 17:83

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Justin Schrudder (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jon Cardenas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ben Platt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tristin Sedlacek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

17% (1/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (2.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	15%	Loss	✗	0.17	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Win	✗	0.67	0.80
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.90
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.13
R6	CC	Dash I/O	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Jeffrey Ouellette

38th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Hamilton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Norris (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None ()

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sung Kang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alex Fraser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 62:38

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Neet (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.58
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.67	1.58

Sung Kang

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs sean Burke (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Luke Putz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 41:59

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tim Chambers (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jeffrey Ouellette (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kyle James (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.