Fang, Dracai of Blades at Battle Hardened: Portland 2026

Fang, Dracai of Blades

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

sean Burke

30th • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.9

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Sung Kang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Cary Young (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Justin Schrudder (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jon Cardenas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Ben Platt (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Tristin Sedlacek (Dash I/O) - Expected: 33:67

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.87
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.62	0.92
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.15
R6	CC	Dash I/O	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-

Jeffrey Ouellette

38th • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

+0.0

Perf

2.9

Surp

2.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Alex Hamilton (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Norris (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None ()

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Sung Kang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alex Fraser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 68:32

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jacob Neet (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC		50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	70%	Win	✓	0.32	0.47
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	35%	Win	✗	0.65	1.51

Sung Kang

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs sean Burke (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Luke Putz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tim Chambers (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jeffrey Ouellette (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kyle James (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.