Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Battle Hardened: Portland 2026
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
45th • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs sean Burke (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 83:17
5:95
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eris Henry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 5:95
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dana Martin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mark Shanafelt (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Burnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 5% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.