Pleiades, Superstar at Battle Hardened: Portland 2026
Pleiades, Superstar
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs aiden anable (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs nathan ericksen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eris Henry (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 28:72
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sung Kang (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.