Battle Hardened: Portland 2026 - Vynnset, Iron Maiden (CC)

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Abtin RAVANIPOUR

5th • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

3.7

Surp

2.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Clements (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Luke Putz (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.47
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	30%	Win	✗	0.70	1.00
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R7	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-

Darius Zacharakis

33rd • 3-3-0

33%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.7

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Spencer Heaps (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 43:57

45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Andre Judd (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

80:20

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dana Martin (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 79:21

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

20:80

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Revlis Go (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 22:78

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Josh Bibb (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 41:59

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.20
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.21	0.17
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R6	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	40%	Win	✗	0.59	1.29

Will Prater

52nd • 1-5-0

33%

Meta

-1.7

Perf

2.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 29:71

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs aiden anable (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alex Fraser (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Holly Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs William Donnelly (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

33% (2/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.94
R6	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.