Battle Hardened: Portland 2026 - Jarl Vetreiði (CC)

Jarl Vetreiði

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Hayden Jeanson

5th • 5-2-0

86%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

2.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Josh Lind (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jon Cardenas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jarik Caisse (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Raj Giri (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Abtin RAVANIPOUR (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jude Cornett (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.51	0.15
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.28
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.69
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.53
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.42
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-

Josh Lind

15th • 4-2-0

67%

Meta

+1.1

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.3

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Will Prater (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 71:29

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jacob Neet (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 48:52

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Norris (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 33:67

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Sadat Minick (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.08
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.52	0.71
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.33	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.20

Victor Marquez

39th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.8

Surp

2.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nate Davis (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Kearney (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Holly Benton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs aiden anable (Dash I/O) - Expected: 72:28

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Zyrone Powell (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.49	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R5	CC	Dash I/O	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.39
R6	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.91

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.