Bravo, Showstopper
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-2-0
56%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kassia McGeoch (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Clark (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Correas (Unknown)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Isaac Fogg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
5th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniele Frattarelli (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Calf (Unknown)
Round 4: Win vs George Douglas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Whewell (Unknown)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
25th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Ogden (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Vulpe Razvan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rafael Boog (Unknown)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Steven Christian (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Sarrington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs George Keys (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
43rd • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jamie Costello (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jude Fisher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ed Cardall (Unknown)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Calf (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dragos Trofimov (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs (Zamun) Juan Eduardo Corbalan Duzman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Giannis Karyotakis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Harbinson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Loss vs kuba tambor (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Giannis Karyotakis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Ross Gauld (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bill Stevenson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David McAllan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Unknown)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rafael Boog (Unknown)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hanno Guellicher (Unknown)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bernardo Cardoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Felix Krisch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David McAllan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Parisotto (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Blower (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Vulpe Razvan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Unknown)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Unknown)
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Blower (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Coates (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Chalk (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Isaac Fogg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs kuba tambor (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Finlay Freir (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Hanno Guellicher (Unknown)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Damon Harbinson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Unknown)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Katherina Walshe-Grey (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs (Zamun) Juan Eduardo Corbalan Duzman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Chmielewski (Unknown)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Declan Patrick (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Ward (Unknown)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Thourgood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Duggan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connor McLaughlin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Damon Harbinson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Porter (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.