Azalea, Ace in the Hole at Battle Hardened: Liverpool
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jude Fisher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Louis Guillot (Unknown)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Mario Donoso (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anton Cid Mejias (Unknown)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
27th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Ogden (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kuba tambor (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Unknown)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Henrik Moilanen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Whewell (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
41st • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Ward (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steve Andrew (Unknown)
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Connor McLaughlin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Keven Daymond (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Unknown)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
55th • 3-5-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Calf (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Theo Maggs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Owen Cookman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Viktor Sojka (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robin Wagner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Unknown)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Keven Daymond (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Gould (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jose Alves (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Denis Mandrysz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 44:56
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Draw vs Ruben Exposito (Unknown)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Simon Lüthi (Unknown)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 32:68
Round 3: Loss vs William Borwick (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joel Rencen (Unknown)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
60%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Kinnett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher O'Toole (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonny Chapman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Jones (Unknown)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Ogden (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None (Unknown)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hanno Guellicher (Unknown)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jamie McCabe (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robin Wagner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Viktor Sojka (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim Coates (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Ashall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Mike Williams (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.