Kano, Dracai of Aether
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jake Warburton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eugene C (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tim Coates (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emlyn Ingram (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Whewell (Unknown)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R9 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
13th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Ashall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Denis Mandrysz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tim Coates (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Unknown)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nguyen Giang (Unknown)
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
15th • 6-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Keven Daymond (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mohammad Rafiq (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Blower (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Brookes (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Owen Cookman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
Round 6: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs kuba tambor (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Henrik Moilanen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
23rd • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Martinez de (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fabio Albrecht (Unknown)
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Seb Ball (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Calf (Unknown)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Sarrington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Giannis Karyotakis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Louis Guillot (Unknown)
Round 3: Loss vs Emlyn Ingram (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Unknown)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Unknown)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Seb Ball (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Harbinson (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adrian Lee (Unknown)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ricardo Nguyen (Unknown)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stefano Parisotto (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nguyen Giang (Unknown)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor McLaughlin (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bogdan Popa (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.