Vynnset, Iron Maiden at Battle Hardened: Liverpool
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 1-3-1
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Kenworthy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Thomas McCormick (Unknown)
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Katherina Walshe-Grey (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ben Lux (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.