Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonny Chapman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oli Cornish (Unknown)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Finlay Shepherd (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Donovan van Beek (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Louis Guillot (Unknown)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Unknown)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jose Alves (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
56th • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Louis Guillot (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Davies (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs George Keys (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Vulpe Razvan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alex Martinez de (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher O'Toole (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Ogden (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Damon Harbinson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Lux (Unknown)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonas Benzarti (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Oli Cornish (Unknown)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Sarrington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Juan Chacon (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christian Parisotto (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Fabio Albrecht (Unknown)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tamás Somoskövi (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dave Kerr (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 73:27
Round 3: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Theo Maggs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tom Gould (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Calf (Unknown)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Henrik Moilanen (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Peter Ward (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Damon Harbinson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Theo Maggs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kassia McGeoch (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tom Hazell (Unknown)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Whewell (Unknown)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tim McCarthy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs George Keys (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Giannis Karyotakis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sven Tscheppainz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joel Rencen (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nguyen Giang (Unknown)
Round 4: Loss vs Erika Forslöf (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bogdan Popa (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Bill Stevenson (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Martinez de (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sergio Bravo Aranda (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Quinn Durlston-Powell (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Unknown)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Davies (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs George Rodger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs kuba tambor (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Kinnett (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adrian Lee (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sven Tscheppainz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Oli Cornish (Unknown)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mihai Zorila (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nguyen Giang (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rob Emery (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Isaac Fogg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Owen Cookman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.