Kassai of the Golden Sand at Battle Hardened: Liverpool
Kassai of the Golden Sand
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
34th • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.9
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Thourgood (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Win vs Katherina Walshe-Grey (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tom Gould (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tamás Somoskövi (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Felix Krisch (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jose Alves (Unknown)
Round 8: Win vs Christopher O'Toole (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
35th • 5-3-0
25%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Isaac Fogg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Liam Canning (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Catton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs George Douglas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
Round 6: Win vs Jude Fisher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nuno Miguel Correia das Neves (Unknown)
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
58th • 2-6-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs (Zamun) Juan Eduardo Corbalan Duzman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mathias W (Unknown)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mario Donoso (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Declan Patrick (Unknown)
Round 5: Loss vs Vulpe Razvan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kit Valentine (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joel Rencen (Unknown)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Steve Andrew (Unknown)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs George Keys (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Kenworthy (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David McAllan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 54:46
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Porter (Unknown)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Unknown)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas van den Berg (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Clark (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Tim Dasiukevich (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Unknown)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David McAllan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tom Jones (Unknown)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Unknown)
Round 3: Loss vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Unknown)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Brookes (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Michael Davies (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Sarrington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robin Wagner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Duggan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Mckinlay (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Collett (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Víctor Sánchez Parrondo (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefano Berian (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Whewell (Unknown)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas van Dijk (Unknown)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Owen Cookman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Giannis Karyotakis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Sarrington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs George Keys (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 54:46
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jude Fisher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 27:73
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Porter (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Showstopper | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.