Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
59th • 2-6-0
50%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Rob Emery (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61
Round 5: Win vs Kate Dunstone (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Theo Maggs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kassia McGeoch (Unknown)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.