Battle Hardened: Liverpool - Fai, Rising Rebellion (CC)

Fai, Rising Rebellion

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

kuba tambor

38th • 5-3-0

38%

Meta

+1.9

Perf

4.2

Surp

4.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Zak Mc Gowan (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Unknown)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sven Tscheppainz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Tom Barnaby-Pass (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Denis Mandrysz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Sarrington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs David McAllan (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46

Meta Fit

38% (3/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

4.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Loss	✗	0.41	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.93
R5	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.06
R6	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	30%	Win	✗	0.69	1.28
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R8	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.89

William Borwick

51st • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

4.1

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tom Hazell (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Unknown)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jack Rhys-Burgess (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Joel Rencen (Unknown)

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Finlay Freir (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Cecil-Ember Phoenix (Unknown)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Christopher O'Toole (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Louis Guillot (Unknown)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.1 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	40%	Win	✗	0.59	0.48
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.86
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R8	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Mihai Zorila

60th • 2-6-0

62%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jose Alves (Unknown)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Stefano Berian (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 27:73

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Unknown)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Kate Dunstone (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Kassia McGeoch (Unknown)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Joel Rencen (Unknown)

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 39:61

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Simon Lüthi (Unknown)

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R8	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Dragos Trofimov

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.8

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Denis Mandrysz (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 31:69

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Unknown)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs None (Unknown)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Stefano Parisotto (Unknown)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Jamie Costello

dropped • 0-2-0

50%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

0.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Whewell (Unknown)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Isaac Fogg (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

50% (1/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.