Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
49th • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Sarrington (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Christian Parisotto (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel Braben (Unknown)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nguyen Giang (Unknown)
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tim Coates (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 27:73
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Davies (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.