Katsu, the Wanderer at Battle Hardened: Liverpool
Katsu, the Wanderer
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
45th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Katherina Walshe-Grey (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bernardo Cardoso (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jose Alves (Unknown)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jake Warburton (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ryan Porter (Unknown)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.