Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
54 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 10-3-0
38%
Meta
+4.2
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.6
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Adam Jessell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs John Abanto (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Win vs Nova Chan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Raj Giri (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
25:75
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Logan King (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs josh hunt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 9: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 10: Win vs Bea Budnik (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
60:40
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Ryan Newberry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 12: Win vs Michael Metallo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R13 LL
Round 13: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
47th • 8-5-0
46%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
6.7
Surp
4.3
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs Zach Nichols (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs James Chang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Guillem Las Heras (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Matt MacLeod (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs James Warburton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
Round 10: Loss vs Bun Ar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
R12
R12 LL
Round 12: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R13 LL
Round 13: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
49th • 8-5-0
31%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
6.6
Surp
4.6
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Seth Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Franche Tan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Win vs Raheel Khalid (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Coutts (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Round 6: Win vs Nicolas Seegraves (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs OMAR MATA (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Wampler (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R9
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R12 LL
Round 12: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
Round 13: Loss vs Darren Knopes (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
31% (4/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R13 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
66th • 7-6-0
46%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
6.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Issiah Melton (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Will Rea (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs francisco guerrero (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Matt Muus (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Jacques Carlson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Loss vs Bun Ar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Hawkinson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs James Warburton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
Round 10: Loss vs Sean Gray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Ka Chan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 12: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
40:60
R13 LL
Round 13: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 6-5-0
45%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Matt Gaskin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Murnieks (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Nathan Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Nick Pearce (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Michel Corvino (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Mariano Rivero (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
40:60
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.5
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs marcellus hunter ()
35:65
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Silvester Nava (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Shawn Edwards (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Daniel Link (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Jarik Caisse (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Zach Johnson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Eric Hyneman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Porter Jones (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Karlson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Zach Johnson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Levy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Airton dos Santos Junior (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Hugh Wang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Seth Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Alex Mihilli (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs William Burke (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Thaminda Edirisooriya (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Loss vs Jacques Carlson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Charles Dunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Cooper Templeton (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Kissel (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Win vs Artie Hamelin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Philip Torres (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
25:75
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Zach Nichols (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
Round 2: Win vs Alex Fraser (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Hartman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Lester (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Leonardo Marcelino Vieira (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Westbrook (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 70:30
Round 7: Win vs William Nuckolls (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Borger (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Douglas Maclure (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Karlson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Win vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Alexander Vore (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Joseph Freeh (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
38%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.2
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Kristian Perez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jo Burch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Win vs James Warburton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Rich Pauls (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Round 6: Win vs Bert Main (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Josef Mendez (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
70:30
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 70:30
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Matt MacLeod (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Ka Chan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Sean Murray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Win vs Justin Cardoza (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Shope (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Tod Delaricheliere (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs James Clark (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jeremy Kruman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Ovaert (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Ivan Taranto (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
25:75
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Catton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Magri (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Zoey Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Mason Williams (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Celeste Beltz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Menion Croll (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Matt Jacobs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Gustavo Caperan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Bray (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Round 7: Loss vs Violet Dold (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Annabelle McQuade (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs NICOLE HEENAN (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Loss vs Violet Dold (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Miller (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.3
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Emily Lampert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Philip Torres (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Austin Luginbill (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Luke Manship (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Joseph Schelling (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Feeney (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-2
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Mihalas (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Draw vs Philip Torres (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Gerhardt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Austin "Ozz" Barta (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs John Tucker (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Loss vs Luis Marlon Villarreal (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Justin Haenel (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Draw vs Matt Schubert (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Draw |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Charles Simmons (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 2: Win vs Artie Hamelin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Randall Sims (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Travis Ashley (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Craig Ketchum (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Brian Sellers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs david knopf (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
Round 3: Win vs Lorenzo Brambilla Pisoni (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Dagan White (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Omar Bouras ()
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Epermanis (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Anthony Perry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.6
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Rylan Gedon (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Cardoza (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs charles singleton (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Tulio Marquez (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Emily Lampert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Vinicius Timm Toniazzo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Dexter Canright (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Trey Herring ()
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Dan Mui (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Matt MacLeod (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Michel Corvino (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Zoey Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Garrett Shustarich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
35:65
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs nicklas starland (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Heger (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 6: Loss vs Nathan Crawford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Ramos-Calderon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
70:30
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Calvin Erven (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 70:30
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Bill Jargowsky (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs David McCartney (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Erik Rubino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
25:75
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Guillem Las Heras (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 23:77
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs jordan johnson (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs William Burke (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Daja Todesco (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs alessandro scarnato (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Edison Yue (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Sean Baker ()
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Dustin Douglass (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Tulio Marquez (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Seth Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs David McCartney (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs alessandro scarnato (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Zackary Young (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Michael Holder (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs OMAR MATA (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-1
83%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Draw vs Luke Putz (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Rylan Gedon (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Jared Contaldi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Gabriel Nichols (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Lester (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Draw |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Wesley Gerhardt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Isabella Bregensk (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Will Joseph (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew W (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Ethan Hayes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Link (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Shawn Edwards (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Wesley Gerhardt (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Derek Chiu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Murray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Gibby (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Erik Rubino (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matthew W (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Mercy Bickell (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs James Kandziolka (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Loss vs Jo Burch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Carrano (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Round 4: Loss vs Erick Ortiz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Joe Ellis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Reese Toomre (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Martin Cox (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Robin Meunier (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Gui Cohen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Julian Helgeson (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs David Avezov (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Feeney (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Trey Pachucki (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Keith Swingle (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Loss vs Tho Bui (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Chris Morris (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Kolb (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Chris Tellez (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Thor Hoffman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs John Abanto (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Dailey (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Merrick Kemp (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Round 5: Loss vs Kristian Perez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs andy liu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Knapp (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Greg Greiner (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Levy (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Joao Morato (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Dalton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jordan Van Tatenhove (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Markham (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Gracza (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Adrienne Morales (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Carrano (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs andy liu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
Round 3: Loss vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Bird Cabrera (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Billy Smith (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Doug Frauman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Joshua Borger (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Rutkowski (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Michael Welch (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Jo Burch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Baker ()
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jo Burch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Pennybacker (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Carrano (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Flook (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Musgrove (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Angove (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs Austin Ford (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Delgado (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Michał Biernacki (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Luis Marlon Villarreal (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Nathan Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Jared Warden (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Charles Dunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Schubert (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.