Calling: Philadelphia 2025 - Kayo, Armed and Dangerous (LL)

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Maciej Szawica

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Robin Meunier (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Ige (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R4 LL

Round 4: Win vs Garrett Shustarich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R5 LL

Round 5: Loss vs Mike Cortes (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	LL	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.80
R5	LL	Bravo, Star of the Show	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Daniel Jones

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Dain Ramirez (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Nick Pearce (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Matt Jacobs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Zen, Tamer of Purpose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kyle Peterson

dropped • 1-2-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.3

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Win vs Raul Castillo (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Keith McGee Jr. (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R3 LL

Round 3: Loss vs Tho Bui (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Nuu, Alluring Desire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R2	LL	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	LL	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Phelipe da Hora

dropped • 0-2-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.0

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Canedy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 LL

Round 2: Loss vs Zoey Gerstner (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (2/2 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	LL	Dromai, Ash Artist	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Joe Ellis

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Kevin Fontan

dropped • 0-1-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

0.5

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 LL

Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Lantz (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (1/1 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

0.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	LL	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.