Azalea, Ace in the Hole
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-4-0
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Pauli Viimaranta (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Tomas Liutvinas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle James (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Fan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs João Pereira (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Colby Homan (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs CODY READY (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Emily Lampert (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Victoria Lakey (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Blaine Pascu (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs John Paul Kilcrease (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Cooper Templeton (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jeffrey Rybak (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Phillip Pelley (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Van Meter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Raheel Khalid (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs CODY READY (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Murray (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Colby Homan (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
100%
Meta
0.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs William Nuckolls (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs jacob zdepski (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.