Chane, Bound by Shadow
16 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 11-2-0
100%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.1
Diff
85:15
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Austin "Ozz" Barta (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 83:17
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Sean Gray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
70:30
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Celeste Beltz (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Nick Pearce (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Ryan Youngquist (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Quest Pittman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Aaron Boyhan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Raj Giri (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Yuanji Li (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
85:15
R12 LL
Round 12: Win vs Ryan Baker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
55:45
R13 LL
Round 13: Win vs Taylor Nifong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (13/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (8.7 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R13 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
5th • 10-3-0
100%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.0
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs John Houder (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Leo Shea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
75:25
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Freeh (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Phillip Kendall (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Rob Catton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Sean Gray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
80:20
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Mariano Rivero (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 80:20
55:45
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Taylor Nifong (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Didier Deurloo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
85:15
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R12 LL
Round 12: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 13: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (13/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (8.4 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R12 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
14th • 10-3-0
100%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Randall Sims (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Seneca Pressley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Zeringue (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 83:17
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Renzo Schietgat (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
85:15
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Matt Muus (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
85:15
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Isaak Krut (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
75:25
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Paul Dollé (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
85:15
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs andy liu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 83:17
Round 11: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
55:45
R12 LL
Round 12: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R13 LL
Round 13: Win vs Didier Deurloo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
100% (13/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (8.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
16th • 10-3-0
100%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
80:20
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Evan George (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 78:22
70:30
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Leonardo Marcelino Vieira (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
85:15
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 83:17
Round 6: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
75:25
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Gui Cohen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Nova Chan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
80:20
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Mariano Rivero (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 80:20
Round 11: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
80:20
R12 LL
Round 12: Win vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R13 LL
Round 13: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
100% (13/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (8.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R12 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 80% | Win |
| R13 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
19th • 10-3-0
100%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
80:20
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Peng Joon (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 78:22
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Dakota Cook (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Bun Ar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
85:15
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Ryan Baker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Phil Kinney (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Austin Redington (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
80:20
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Ka Chan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 80:20
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Ilias Karamanis (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R12 LL
Round 12: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R13 LL
Round 13: Win vs Michel Verissimo da Silva Luiz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (13/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (8.4 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Win |
| R11 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R13 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
20th • 9-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Fay (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Timothy Wells (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Kenny Tran (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 83:17
85:15
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 83:17
85:15
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
85:15
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs James Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 83:17
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
85:15
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Isaak Krut (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
85:15
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Nick Butcher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
60:40
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R12 LL
Round 12: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 13: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (13/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (9.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 80% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
39th • 9-4-0
100%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.0
Diff
80:20
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Ricardo Villanueva (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Abigail Welday (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Quest Pittman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
85:15
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Rich Pauls (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Doug Frauman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Zak Cargin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
Round 9: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
75:25
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Joseph Freeh (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
50:50
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R12 LL
Round 12: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R13 LL
Round 13: Win vs Joshua Tavares (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
100% (13/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (8.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R13 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
46th • 8-5-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
80:20
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Martin Burch (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Newberry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
85:15
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Seth Clark (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
85:15
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Bird Cabrera (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
85:15
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Josef Mendez (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
75:25
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Gui Cohen (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
85:15
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs andy liu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 83:17
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Marcos Rogerio Silva (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R9
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Anthony Pham (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs James Warburton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Filippo Barbani (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
R12
R12 LL
Round 12: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R13 LL
Round 13: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (13/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (8.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 7-5-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
6.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Perry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Derek Chiu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Federico Sirri (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Anthony O’Hara (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Violet Dold (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
R9
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Sean Baker ()
55:45
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Round 12: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (12/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (7.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | 50% | Win | |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
85:15
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs OMAR MATA (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Towle (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 80:20
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
75:25
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Nathan McCarthy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
75:25
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs shoma yamamura (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
Round 8: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (5.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Trevor Baker (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Ramos-Calderon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jo Burch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 85% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Nik Katebian (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Charles Dunn (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs andy liu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Rothermel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs David Elrod (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Dash I/O) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
75:25
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Mark Morrison (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Dollé (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Zeni Ragsdale (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs David Trinh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Nichols (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Edison Yue (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Fay (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Brady Bicknell (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Antonio Calderon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Filippo Barbani (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mariano Rivero (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 80:20, favorite upset
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Matulewicz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.