Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
11th • 10-3-0
85%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Tho Bui (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Win vs James Clark (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Quinn Wongkew (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
75:25
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Didier Deurloo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 75:25
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Raj Giri (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
75:25
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Michael Metallo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 75:25
R10
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R11
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R12
R12 LL
Round 12: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
75:25
R13 LL
Round 13: Win vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
85% (11/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 75% | Win |
17th • 10-3-0
69%
Meta
+3.6
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Noah Delp (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Michael Schober (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Taotao Chu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
75:25
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Edison Yue (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 75:25
75:25
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Matt Muus (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 75:25
R9
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R10
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Nathan Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 11: Win vs Rafael Salsa (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R12
R12 LL
Round 12: Win vs Paul Dollé (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R13
R13 LL
Round 13: Win vs Bea Budnik (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
dropped • 6-5-0
82%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jared Wyce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Mikael Lundberg (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Goldfinger (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Travis Yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
75:25
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 75:25
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs andy liu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Markham (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Darren Knopes (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
Round 9: Loss vs Matt Muus (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Round 10: Win vs Randall Sims (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 11: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 75% | Loss |
| R10 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-1
50%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Ramos-Calderon (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Clayton Bucholz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Raj Parikh (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Draw vs Alex Mihilli (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
75:25
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Michał Biernacki (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 75:25
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Quest Pittman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Fay (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Draw |
| R5 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.5
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Kellen Smallwood (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Nicholas Hoover (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Rafael Salsa (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Knapp (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Gabe Sher (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Jimmy Nguyen (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
Round 8: Win vs Michael Holder (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
35:65
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Dexter Canright (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Platz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Chu Heng Eng (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Canedy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Alex Pennybacker (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Gustavo Caperan (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Ryan Lester (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Wojtek Klimczyk (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Dmitry Sorokin (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Mark Morrison (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs John Chriss (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
35:65
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs João Pereira (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
75:25
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 75:25
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Nathan McCarthy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Darren Knopes (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 5: Win vs CODY READY (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Frederick Hefer (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Hilleary (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Adam Kershaw (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Logan King (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Randall Sims (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs James Clark (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Natalie Birch (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Jeff Okrasinski (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
75:25
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Carter Hulse (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 75:25
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs James Kandziolka (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan Gracza (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Ka Chan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.