Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Ben Black (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Voghell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Brummett (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
45:55
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Porter Jones (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Natalie Birch (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Will Rea (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Kyle James (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Isabella Bregensk (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs João Pereira (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Ryan Baker (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Bill Jargowsky (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Noah Geiger (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs francisco guerrero (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Federico Sirri (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Markham (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Wolford (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Sander Hartlage (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Salvatore Fontana (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Yiou Liu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Charles Simmons (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Round 7: Loss vs Emery Powell (Dash I/O) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Joshua Borger (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs David Lewis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Annabelle McQuade (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Andrea Mengucci (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Younghyun Jeong (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Magri (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Ivan Taranto (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Schiller (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Voghell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Eduardo Melo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Matt Schubert (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Andrew Ige (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Force (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Porter Boroski (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Logan King (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Holder (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Hayley Neighbors (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs James Clark (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs John Abanto (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Porter Jones (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs James Kandziolka (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Yiou Liu (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Dash I/O) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Hasan Abdali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Fay (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Spencer Giroux (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Lee Conner (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.