Kano, Dracai of Aether
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 11-2-0
54%
Meta
+5.5
Perf
7.0
Surp
9.8
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Hasan Abdali (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Adrienne Morales (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Matt Schubert (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Alex Chițu (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
15:85
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 17:83
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Alex Mihilli (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs David McCartney (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R9
R9 LL
Round 9: Win vs Nathan Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Dakota Cook (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
Round 11: Win vs Logan King (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
40:60
R12 LL
Round 12: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
Round 13: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
Meta Fit
54% (7/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+5.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
7.0 total deviation
Difficulty
9.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Win |
48th • 8-5-0
62%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.7
Diff
65:35
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Stephen Helmly (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Dan Mui (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Win vs Phillip Kendall (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Colin Topper (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Rich Pauls (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Daja Todesco (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
15:85
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Raj Giri (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 17:83
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Ryan Newberry (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Round 9: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
15:85
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 17:83
55:45
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Sean Gray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R12 LL
Round 12: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
R13
R13 LL
Round 13: Loss vs Blake Godenzi (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R10 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R11 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R13 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
59th • 8-5-0
46%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.4
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Matt Muus (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Chu Heng Eng (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Joshua morrow (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Phillip Pelley (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Jonny G (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Nick Butcher (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
30:70
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Nova Chan (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R12 LL
Round 12: Loss vs Kevin Markham (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
R13
R13 LL
Round 13: Win vs Ka Chan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
46% (6/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R13 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
68th • 7-6-0
62%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
5.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jared Contaldi (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs June Lekstutis (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Dertoni (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Tulio Marquez (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
15:85
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 17:83
55:45
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Jacques Carlson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Charles Simmons (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
R10
R10 LL
Round 10: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Austin Redington (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
Round 12: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R13
R13 LL
Round 13: Win vs Joe Santianna (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (8/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
| R13 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
dropped • 7-4-0
45%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
4.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Marcus Queen (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Schiller (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Paul Dollé (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Logan King (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 17:83
55:45
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Fay (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
15:85
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 17:83
40:60
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Thomas Bray (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs David Lewis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
40:60
R10 LL
Round 10: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R11 LL
Round 11: Loss vs Didier Deurloo (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Michel Corvino (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
30:70
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Redington (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Link (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Coutts (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Sean Baker ()
30:70
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs William Burke (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Jonathan Gracza (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R6 | 50% | Loss | |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-6-0
62%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
30:70
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Keith Milde (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Angus Blaxall (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Ben Black (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
30:70
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs William Burke (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Max Welburn (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Mikael Lundberg (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs Trevor Baker (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R8
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Tomas Liutvinas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
30:70
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs DYLAN MANGINI (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Andrew Drotleff (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Austin Ford (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
30:70
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Nelson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Nick Reuter (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Kenneth Wontroba (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Ben Black (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs VINAY SONI ()
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Hayden Jeanson (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70
15:85
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 17:83
Round 5: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
40:60
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
30:70
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Harper (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
15:85
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Shahmir Samee (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 17:83
Round 4: Win vs Austin Henry (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs david knopf (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Biros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Seneca Pressley (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Schiller (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
65:35
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Van Meter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Sean Murray (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Keith Swingle (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Nathan Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Colin Eriksen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs CODY READY (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony O’Hara (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Hyneman (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Wells (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Andrew Ige (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs James Warburton (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 17:83
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Kenneth Wontroba (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Bradley Pasbjerg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Van Meter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-0
100%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Harper (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Annabelle McQuade (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Boyhan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
55:45
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Kershaw (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Coutts (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Joshua Tavares (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Dylan Reinke (Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
55:45
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs josh hunt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Sculptor of Arc Light | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Artie Hamelin (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 41:59
Round 2: Loss vs Pablo Álvarez Castillo (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.