Briar, Warden of Thorns
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
36th • 9-4-0
69%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.3
Surp
5.3
Diff
30:70
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Tee Thebeau (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 30:70
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Nik Dinnis (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Hugh Wang (Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Jimmy Nguyen (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
Round 6: Win vs Anthony O’Hara (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R8 LL
Round 8: Win vs Randall Sims (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R9 LL
Round 9: Loss vs David Bruner (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
Round 10: Win vs Matt Muus (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R11
R11 LL
Round 11: Win vs Kevin Markham (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R12 LL
Round 12: Loss vs Logan King (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
R13
R13 LL
Round 13: Win vs andy liu (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oldhim, Grandfather of Eternity | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R11 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
| R13 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.4
Diff
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Quinn Wongkew (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Robert Abril (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Hudson Graves (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Youngquist (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Steven Bowers (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
R6
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Thor Hoffman (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R7 LL
Round 7: Win vs David Trinh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.1
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Dromai, Ash Artist) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Neeraj Satav (Iyslander, Stormbind) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Ovaert (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Noah Biros (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 LL
Round 6: Win vs Jaber Hye (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
R7
R7 LL
Round 7: Loss vs David McCartney (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
35:65
R8 LL
Round 8: Loss vs Alan Teixeira (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dromai, Ash Artist | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Iyslander, Stormbind | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.4
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs John Montalbano IV ()
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Hawkinson (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Crawford (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Ralph Abou Hala (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
R5
R5 LL
Round 5: Win vs Luiz Bretas (Lexi, Livewire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
30:70
R6 LL
Round 6: Loss vs Mark Morrison (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | 50% | Win | |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Lexi, Livewire | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Derek Chiu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Price (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Aaron Williams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
30:70
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Justin Fan (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Michael-Paul Johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 LL
Round 4: Win vs Illuvial Arnett (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Shawn Dhaliwal (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Hoover (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
65:35
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs David Trinh (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R3 LL
Round 3: Loss vs Travis Yeo (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Bravo, Star of the Show) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R5 LL
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Wells (Briar, Warden of Thorns) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Star of the Show | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Briar, Warden of Thorns | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-1-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 LL
Round 1: Win vs Lee Kimball (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Win vs Ethan Hayes (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Keith McGee Jr. (Dash I/O) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.8
Diff
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Logan King (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
R2
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Gardner (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R3
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Jones (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
R4
R4 LL
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Canedy (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
60:40
R2 LL
Round 2: Loss vs Steven Bowers (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R3 LL
Round 3: Win vs Cameron Weese (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
0.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 LL
Round 1: Loss vs Raj Giri (Chane, Bound by Shadow) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (0.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Chane, Bound by Shadow | 20% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.