Prism, Awakener of Sol at National Championship 2025

Prism, Awakener of Sol

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Peter Nethan Henriksen

3rd • 5-3-0

75%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

3.6

Surp

3.6

Diff

Deck

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mads Bergenstoff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Johannes Warming (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jonas Rosenkrans (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Sebastian Grøndal (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Andreas Ventzel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Asger Thomsen Brem (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Kenni Pedersen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41

20:80

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

3.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.46	0.11
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.75
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.62	1.57
R10	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.94
R11	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-

Thor Bager

34th • 4-2-0

50%

Meta

+1.2

Perf

2.9

Surp

5.0

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rasmus Møller (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Michael Kristensen (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 37:63

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicolai bo pedersen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Michel Hansen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Kristoffer Suensen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Matiss Cikota (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory

Meta Fit

50% (3/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.9 total deviation

Difficulty

5.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R2	CC	Puffin, Hightail	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.47
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.80
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.62
R9	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	40%	Win	✗	0.62	2.10

Sebastian Grøndal

12th • 3-3-0

83%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

2.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

Deck

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Casper Bager (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 65:35

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

20:80

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Friis Nielsen (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.21
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Win	✓	0.35	0.31
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.17
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	20%	Loss	✗	0.19	-
R9	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.