Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X at National Championship 2025 - Denmark
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
9th • 6-0-0
83%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
4.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thomas Lukaszewicz (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christian Jelle (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Joergensen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mikkel Hansen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.