Vynnset, Iron Maiden at National Championship 2025

Vynnset, Iron Maiden

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jonas Benzarti

2nd • 7-2-0

67%

Meta

+2.1

Perf

3.8

Surp

3.2

Diff

Deck

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Frederik Pedersen (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Kristoffer Suensen (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Peter Søndergaard Hald (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Kenni Pedersen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75

80:20

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Sebastian Grøndal (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Rasmus Møller (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Rasmus Møller (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

80:20

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kinga Piper Balázs (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (6/9 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

3.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.11
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	30%	Win	✗	0.68	0.37
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.37
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.28
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.78
R10	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.87
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	80%	Win	✓	0.19	0.38
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Mathias W

15th • 5-1-0

83%

Meta

+1.5

Perf

2.7

Surp

2.6

Diff

Deck

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Emil Spangenberg (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Casper Bager (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Joergensen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Klaus Poulsen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 69:31

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Laura Nielsen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 5 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.18
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.22
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R7	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.31	0.62
R8	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	55%	Win	✓	0.44	1.12
R9	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Danny Halstad

dropped • 2-3-0

40%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

1.7

Surp

1.7

Diff

Deck

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Henrik Kaldahl (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kenni Pedersen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Matiss Cikota (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Asger Thomsen Brem (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 24:76

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Duy Do (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	25%	Loss	✗	0.25	-
R3	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R7	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	1.46

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.