Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at National Championship 2025 - Denmark
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
30th • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonas Benzarti (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 40:60
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Frederik Damholt Hansen (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicolaj Lyth (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 37:63
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Martin Rasmussen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Anders Gregersen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.