Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at National Championship 2025 - Denmark
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
26th • 2-4-0
17%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andreas Ventzel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicolaj Lyth (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Anders Gregersen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mathias W (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Johannes Warming (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mads Kjølby Larsen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.