Katsu, the Wanderer at Calling: Warsaw
Katsu, the Wanderer
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
43rd • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Fäldtman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tomislav Trajkovski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Freddy Friedrich (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tibor Csonka (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Piotr Stelmach (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Benjamin Westmore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Luka Kramaric (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jan "j4" Wojtecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
57th • 7-5-0
25%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.8
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrej Marčan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tomasz Buda (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs PANAGIOTIS KOSTOGLOU (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jeppe Madsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Clément Maillet (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Unknown)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
25% (3/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
72nd • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Javier Querol (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ruben Exposito (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marcel Harz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adrian Quek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mirko Macchia (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Steinle (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kevin Zänker (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 62:38
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Mikael Borg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Adam Urban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47
25:75
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Enes Findik (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Miele (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fabio Piccinelli (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Łukasz Gryziewicz (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Wojciech Ruciński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leon Schüßler (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ernesto Silva (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mariusz Suchanecki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christof Scheidenberger (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Shahin Ghorbani azad (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anastasios Kouvousis (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Andrzej Lamecki (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Fäldtman (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Peter Smyth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Piotr Zapała (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Rob Catton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Niklas Bengtsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Łukasz Gryziewicz (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Prull (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andres Dorogan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Connor McGrath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charlotte Odievre (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Oskar "Jowe" Halamus (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakow Koutsun (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Opalski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Kyborg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthias Verbeeck (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
29%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Wallner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremie Pohl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shahin Ghorbani azad (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dawid Dominiak (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arkadiusz "Rasaad" Sioda (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Javier Querol (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Fredrik Fagerberg (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Amine Jai Hokimi (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marco Lettieri (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jan Eid (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matěj Stejskal (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maurice Hostettler (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Francisc Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yong Jin Jang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Loss vs Amine Jai Hokimi (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrei Bucurel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Isidoros Popovits (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nino Chimenti (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mateusz Sadowy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-5-0
40%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Amine Jai Hokimi (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Paul Döhrer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michał Biereg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs René Schep (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michał Biereg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Max Dieckmann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Larsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alessandro Altieri (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 3: Loss vs Tomasz Zalejski (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pantelis Anastasopoulos (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Manfred Eregger (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 26:74
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Krystian Sitarski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Isidoros Popovits (Unknown)
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.