Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Warsaw

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jyry Soinio

68th • 7-5-0

75%

Meta

+1.7

Perf

5.4

Surp

3.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Samed Demir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Kołątaj (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

25:75

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs David Wallner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

15:85

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Eric Steuer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

15:85

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

3.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.08
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.14
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	25%	Win	✗	0.73	0.95
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.55
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R9	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.63
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.92
R12	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-

Ashkan Kamyab

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.3

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Miłosz Wierzchoń (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gianluca Razza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Julien Vu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Samed Demir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Win	✗	0.88	0.43
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.84

Kevin Zänker

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.4

Diff

15:85

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gustavo Stabelini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Viktor Sojka (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 70:30

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 70:30

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Pawel Kosminski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Romans Asachovs (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.22
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.54
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.37
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Kristaps Dubults

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Urban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcin Glowacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tommaso Fabbri (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Christof Scheidenberger (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50

15:85

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.12
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.36
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	25%	Win	✗	0.73	1.08
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-

Eugene C

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lukáš Barborik (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Unknown)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Urban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 56:44

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

15:85

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 12:88

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	15%	Loss	✗	0.12	-

Adrian Lee

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 27:73

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jurica Fejer (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Metodi Nikolaev (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs GDPR-DEL-06/18/24-15:32:27 GDPR-DEL-06/18/24-15:32:27 (Unknown)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	25%	Loss	✗	0.27	-
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.