Calling: Warsaw - Rhinar, Reckless Rampage (CC)

Rhinar, Reckless Rampage

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jyry Soinio

68th • 7-5-0

75%

Meta

+1.0

Perf

5.7

Surp

3.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Samed Demir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36

65:35

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Maciej Kołątaj (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs David Wallner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Eric Steuer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36

35:65

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.08
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.16
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.16
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.86
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R8	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R9	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.71
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.58
R12	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Ashkan Kamyab

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.9

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Miłosz Wierzchoń (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Gianluca Razza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Julien Vu (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Eric Steuer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jose Luis Saenz Soria (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Samed Demir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Win	✗	0.66	0.22
R2	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Win	✓	0.36	0.27
R4	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.46
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.95

Kevin Zänker

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Gustavo Stabelini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Viktor Sojka (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dimitris Melissinos (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Bidinger Mikael (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Miele (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Pawel Kosminski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Romans Asachovs (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.23
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.40
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.55
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.66
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Kristaps Dubults

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Adam Urban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Marcin Glowacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tommaso Fabbri (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Christof Scheidenberger (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.14
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.41
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.98
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Eugene C

dropped • 2-3-0

60%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

2.2

Surp

0.6

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lukáš Barborik (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Unknown)

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Urban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Max Schmidt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.16
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	35%	Loss	✗	0.34	-

Adrian Lee

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

1.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jurica Fejer (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 48:52

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Metodi Nikolaev (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs GDPR-DEL-06/18/24-15:32:27 GDPR-DEL-06/18/24-15:32:27 (Unknown)

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	65%	Loss	✓	0.64	-
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.