Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
78th • 7-4-1
50%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mateusz Biernat (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Josef Doležal (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Luca Muratori (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ferdinand Wenke (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sebastian Grøndal (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Federico Sirri (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Anton Cid Mejias (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 40:60
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Antonio Briola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Round 11: Win vs Gianluca Razza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs None (Unknown)
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Draw |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R12 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
77th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Diran Bajwa (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carles Torres (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dennis Krstic (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dean Flanagan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Freddy Friedrich (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yong Jin Jang (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Maxime Dumas (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 10: Win vs Gianluca Razza (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Round 12: Win vs Mikael Borg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matteo Frescucci (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nino Chimenti (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Tanguy (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gaál Benjamin (Unknown)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alessandro Bracci (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alex Martinez de (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paweł Roman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adrian Słowiński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79
Round 2: Win vs Luca Muratori (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Matecki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bartlomiej Gebski (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Krystian Sitarski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Samuel Braben (Unknown)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Giannis Karyotakis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
3.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jake Armes (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79
Round 4: Win vs Michał Szubski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aleix Córdoba (Unknown)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bartosz Witecki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Florian Huepper (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Mikael Borg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ernesto Silva (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicolas Scandalis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 63:37
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.6
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michał Szubski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 21:79
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kacper Fleszar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 27:73
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Łukasz Krzeminski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thore Ladicke (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Maurice Philip (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zafri Jeffri (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-2
40%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Ivan Bötschi (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mert Gezgin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Linus Rodhammar (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Draw |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.