Calling: Warsaw - Uzuri, Switchblade (CC)

Uzuri, Switchblade

17 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jascha Werth

75th • 7-5-0

75%

Meta

+0.9

Perf

5.7

Surp

2.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Kacper Fleszar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Bartosz Witecki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Unknown)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Marc Lanigra (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Francisc Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

70:30

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Alexander Tsohohey (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28

45:55

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Shahin Ghorbani azad (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

75% (9/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.7 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Viserai, Rune Blood	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.08
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.15
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.23
R4	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.60
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R9	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.36
R10	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R11	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Christopher Bizau

dropped • 6-5-0

91%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

5.3

Surp

2.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jeremie Pohl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Błażej Gierszon (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Liam Holden (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jascha Werth (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Łukasz Cichecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Aleix Córdoba (Unknown)

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Maciej Kołątaj (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs George Melissakis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Jan Eid (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

91% (10/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.09
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.09
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.27
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.55
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.64
R10	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R11	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Clément Maillet

dropped • 6-5-0

82%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

5.4

Surp

2.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Duc Minh Tran (Unknown)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Stefano Berian (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

70:30

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Błażej Gierszon (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Mikael Borg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Westmore (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Samuel Braben (Unknown)

45:55

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

65:35

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Albertas pocius (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

40:60

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

82% (9/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (6.2 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.17
R3	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.13
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.36
R5	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.26
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.64
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.88
R9	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R10	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R11	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Bino Nolting

dropped • 4-2-1

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Sebastian Grøndal (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michał Siemiętowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Jacob Evans (Unknown)

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Lorenzo Latino (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rene Farwer (Unknown)

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Draw	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.26
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.56
R6	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Lorenzo Miele

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.5

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.0

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Theo Markus Tõnnov (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Unknown)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Martin Holík (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 63:37

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Krystian Sitarski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Benjamin Troth (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Unknown)

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.19
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Win	✓	0.37	0.28
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R6	CC	Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Morris Prem

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Viktor Sojka (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Grzegorz Marcisz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Achin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Elias Nærland (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Alexander Lukavsky (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Piotr Stelmach (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.18
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.26
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.27
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Bartlomiej Gebski

dropped • 3-3-1

71%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Philip van Donselaar (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andrius Pečiulis (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.29
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R4	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.44
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-

Jake Armes

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Daniele Frattarelli (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Bence Vereszki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Martin Petersson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Gustavo Stabelini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.41
R4	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Leon Schüßler

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.9

Surp

2.7

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Vulpe Razvan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Maciej Kawończyk (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lukasz Bigos (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ralph Schlauri (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Csaba "Cranta" Dezső (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Krystian Sitarski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

2.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.53
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R6	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	40%	Win	✗	0.60	1.13
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Linus Rodhammar

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Freddy Friedrich (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Martin Petersson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Adam Tuček (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Tudor Serban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs pantelis kasarakis (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 58:42

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Leo Matuška (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57

40:60

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Stef Ganchev (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 40:60

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.56
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.57	1.04
R7	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	40%	Loss	✗	0.40	-

Alexander Fäldtman

dropped • 1-5-1

100%

Meta

-2.9

Perf

3.9

Surp

1.0

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Sebastiano Zagatti (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Tymoteusz Kliś (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs George Matzaris (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Michał Zalejski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Jeremie Pohl (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs None (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.9 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	65%	Loss	✓	0.63	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Draw	✓	0.54	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Martin Petersson

dropped • 1-5-0

83%

Meta

-2.0

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Liviu-Andrei Tudorache (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Linus Rodhammar (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs David Dyson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Stefan Karlsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jake Armes (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

83% (5/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R5	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Dimitris Melissinos

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Achin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Dawid Dominiak (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 47:53

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Paweł Rozynek (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R3	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Nick Panagiotou

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Güntekin Koc (Unknown)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Joris Borkelmans (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Mert Gezgin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.59
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-

Tim Heibrok

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

1.9

Surp

0.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tudor Serban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Remco van Gijn (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs David Chirulescu (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.9 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.46
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Florian Anger

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 54:46

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Paweł Kręcki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Julien Erdreich (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	55%	Loss	✓	0.54	-
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Jonas Müller

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 58:42

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Lukavsky (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Ruben Exposito (Unknown)

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.