Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 11-3-0
64%
Meta
+4.1
Perf
7.2
Surp
5.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maciej Janik (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wojciech Ruciński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Loay Achmasiewicz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Tsohohey (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
Round 7: Loss vs Joaquim Ballot (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 8: Win vs Connor McGrath (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Round 12: Win vs Jacob Clements (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
64% (9/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
7.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R13 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
25th • 9-3-0
67%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
6.4
Surp
4.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jannik Bücher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Geoffroy Massard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luka Kramaric (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Feng (Unknown)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Round 8: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Unknown)
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Clément Maillet (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Fredrik Fagerberg (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Francisc Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
29th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 원률 신 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Van den Wyngaerde (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Wallner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lukasz Ziemba (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Pablo Pintor (Unknown)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Juha Saarnilampi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Benjamin Brüssau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Björn DHOOGHE (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Matecki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lukas Melka (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Łukasz Szczepanowski (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vasil Popov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Szymon Wrzesień-Kwiatkowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Linh Tran (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rain Ööpik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Win vs Oguz Delice (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kristaps Dubults (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Round 7: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Metodi Nikolaev (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stefan Hofmüller (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gustavo Stabelini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tibor Csonka (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jakub Nowicki (Unknown)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bartlomiej Gebski (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42
Round 7: Loss vs Lukasz Ziemba (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thore Ladicke (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Tsohohey (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mateusz Mazur (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joris Borkelmans (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bence Vereszki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Vasil Popov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anya North (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
Round 2: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Lorenzo Tarateta (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dziugas Skrupskelis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sharif Shaaban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Shahin Ghorbani azad (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Rene Farwer (Unknown)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tomas Liutvinas (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Florian Anger (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ashkan Kamyab (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Koch (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Piotr Zapała (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Oguz Delice (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Ipakchian (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Round 4: Win vs Stefan Bonk (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
Round 5: Win vs Koos Van den Berg (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Freddy Friedrich (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Grzegorz Pijas (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
Round 2: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Mateusz Biernat (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sebastiano Zagatti (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michal Krzywdzinski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Oscar Sigurdsson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Alexandre (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Martin Bergström (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Pawel Kutesko (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Anya North (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Martin Holík (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tomislav Trajkovski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
Round 2: Loss vs Lukas Melka (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Artur Dziadosz (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Szabolcs Egri (Unknown)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Steinle (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Gabe Sher (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michał Sierszulski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Stefano Berian (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michał Rzepczyński (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Loss vs Samed Demir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Arturs Melnikovs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Opalski (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Albertas pocius (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Loss vs Dawid Dominiak (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tomasz Zalejski (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas van den Berg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michal Krzywdzinski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Unknown)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rene Aho (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Leon Schüßler (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Morris Prem (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Zänker (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.