Kano, Dracai of Aether
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 13-2-0
93%
Meta
+4.8
Perf
6.1
Surp
6.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stefano Berian (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marc Lanigra (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liviu-Andrei Tudorache (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paweł Roman (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tibor Csonka (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jose Ricardo Ordoñez Muller (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Bartosz Dominiak (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jan "j4" Wojtecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Arthur Trehet (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Jacob Trossing (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Gianluigi Lia (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R15 CC
Round 15: Win vs Kanaris Bounas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
93% (14/15 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.8 Wins (8.2 expected, 13 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
6.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R15 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
3rd • 11-3-0
64%
Meta
+3.3
Perf
6.6
Surp
4.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michal Michalowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs axilleas siskopoulos (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Artur Wysocki (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tibor Csonka (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs René Schep (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Darvydas Čepukaitis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Joaquim Ballot (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yorgos Samaras (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Trossing (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Kanaris Bounas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
64% (9/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.3 Wins (7.7 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R14 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
28th • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Csaba "Cranta" Dezső (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Timo Cullmann (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jakub Grefling (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Johannes Schorpp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Brüssau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michal Michalowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Αναστάσιος Παπαγιάννης (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 77:23
85:15
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Sean Knowelden (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Filip Mikołajczyk (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Bravo, Showstopper | 75% | Win |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
61st • 7-5-0
83%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Brøcker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Ipakchian (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Paweł Romanowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Prull (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adrian Słowiński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Faustin Falissard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
Round 9: Loss vs Francisc Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs René Schep (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
84th • 6-6-0
58%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Łukasz Cichecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Prull (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Antonio Briola (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
Round 5: Loss vs Suciu Andrei (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marc Lanigra (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Sebastian Fauth (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (6.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
100:0
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mariusz Wojciechowski (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dawid Mrówczyński (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Urfer (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michał Sierszulski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marcello Mutalipassi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jacob Evans (Unknown)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 100% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Stefano Meoni (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Giulio Monaco (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christian Drabusenigg (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matteo Frescucci (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Edgar Strogonov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Martin Okruhlica (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.7
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maciej Laskowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nils Klaper (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Evans (Unknown)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vasil Popov (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Theo Markus Tõnnov (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mikael Borg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Heidi Lehikoinen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 48:52
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs simon haesaerts (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
Round 4: Loss vs Sebastian Fauth (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Paweł Romanowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tomasz Stanicki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Liam Holden (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Leoluca Colletti (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tomasz Żelazko (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs janis bernhards (Unknown)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carles Torres (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Henrik Moilanen (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Romans Asachovs (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexander Reichhart (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stefan Bonk (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39
100:0
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Fabio Piccinelli (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 100:0
Round 3: Win vs Maciej Laskowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Piergiorgio Villani (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 100% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Antonio Kutter (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Johannes Klaus (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Manuel Wachouschek (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Maciej Laskowski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andres Sandoval Mendez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luigi Fontana (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Oscar Sigurdsson (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Stuart Turner (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Larsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs GDPR-DEL-06/18/24-15:32:27 GDPR-DEL-06/18/24-15:32:27 (Unknown)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Viliam Kubik (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Markus Reichhart (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aris Vasileiadis (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Härmälä (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tomasz Stanicki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dominik Šupa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mateusz Sadowy (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Martinez de (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mariusz Korlacki (Unknown)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Wernecke (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Christian Katrenčin (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Szary (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 85% | Loss |
dropped • 1-0-0
0%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Wallner (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.