Calling: Warsaw - Kassai of the Golden Sand (CC)

Kassai of the Golden Sand

22 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Jacob Clements

12th • 9-3-0

67%

Meta

+2.5

Perf

5.5

Surp

3.8

Diff

65:35

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Szots Daniel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Joaquim Ballot (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Niklas Bengtsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Francisc Loghin (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Maximilian Klein (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Marc Lanigra (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Albertas pocius (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Natan Tomeo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33

65:35

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

3.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.05
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R5	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.48
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.57
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.45
R8	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R9	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R10	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.64
R11	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.54
R12	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-

Jan Eid

71st • 7-3-2

92%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

5.5

Surp

2.8

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gergely Kovacs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

R2 CC

Round 2: Draw vs Jacob Evans (Unknown)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Stefaan Morbee (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marcus Karlsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Martin Hechtberger (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Victor Brøcker (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Robertas Vertinskis (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Suciu Andrei (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Mikael Borg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Christopher Bizau (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Lucas Nijssen (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

92% (11/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.06
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.39
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.45
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.66
R11	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.78
R12	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Connor McGrath

60th • 7-5-0

83%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

5.8

Surp

2.6

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michał Rzepczyński (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Eric Kyborg (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Piotr Chudobinski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Szymon Biesiekierski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Rain Ööpik (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Gianluigi Lia (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Kanaris Bounas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 7 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.06
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.08
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.38
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.41
R6	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.39
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.45
R8	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R9	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.81
R11	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Riccardo Di Cesare

80th • 6-6-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

5.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Mathieu Gomez (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Thore Ladicke (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 GDPR-DEL-07/12/24-11:23:05 (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Andres Dorogan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Manuel Wachouschek (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mateusz Sass (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Bino Nolting (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Dennis Krstic (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

70:30

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Maxime Dumas (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Bernar Aganchyan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Peter Nethan Henriksen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

67% (8/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.08
R3	CC	Dash I/O	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.19
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.39
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.32
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.49
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.51
R9	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R10	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Suciu Andrei

dropped • 6-4-1

55%

Meta

+0.6

Perf

5.8

Surp

2.4

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Mateusz Mazur (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Maciej Szawica (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Francesco Giorgio (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Sylvain Poirree (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Mathieu Gomez (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Joaquim Ballot (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Luka Kramaric (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Draw vs Jan Eid (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Antonio Kutter (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Marc Lanigra (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs George Melissakis (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

Meta Fit

55% (6/11 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.15
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.14
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.21
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Win	✗	0.58	0.46
R5	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.77
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-
R8	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R9	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.63
R10	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R11	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-

Christian Katrenčin

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.5

Surp

2.0

Diff

30:70

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Piotr Siewko (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Alex Martinez de (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Alessandro Bracci (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs 원률 신 (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Philip van Donselaar (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Win	✗	0.69	0.24
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.56
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R7	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.97

Federico Sirri

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Tommaso Fabbri (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Tudor Serban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marcello Mutalipassi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Wiktor Woźniak (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Rokas Pocius (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.22
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.33
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.44
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.83
R7	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Michal Krzywdzinski

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.2

Surp

2.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs George Chew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wiktor Woźniak (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Hamish Chisholm Brown (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Van den Wyngaerde (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dominik Šupa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Quentin Leroy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Tamás Somoskövi (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.25
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.57
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.70
R6	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.50
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Paweł Roman

dropped • 3-3-1

43%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

3.3

Surp

1.5

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Tomasz Stanicki (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Javier Querol (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Vladislovas Kofyrinas (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Vincent Weinzierl (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Draw vs Gustavo Stabelini (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Tommaso Fabbri (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alessandro Altieri (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.16
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.28
R3	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Draw	✓	0.51	-
R6	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.56	1.01
R7	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Haik Voskerchian

dropped • 3-4-0

43%

Meta

-0.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.8

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jan "j4" Wojtecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs gabriel głowicki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Thomas van Dijk (Unknown)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Alex Chițu (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Wachouschek (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Grzegorz Pijas (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Daniyar Saduakassov (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

43% (3/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	60%	Win	✓	0.42	0.23
R3	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R5	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R6	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-
R7	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Win	✗	0.55	1.15

Jakub "Lemur" Siedlecki

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Grégory Lefebvre (Unknown)

65:35

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Lukas Melka (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Philip van Donselaar (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dean Flanagan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Samed Demir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

65:35

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.33
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R7	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.58

Konrad Weiss

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.9

Perf

3.6

Surp

1.8

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Marcel Harz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Dawid Dominiak (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Oleg Zabalujev (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michal Michalowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Elias Nærland (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.9 Wins (3.9 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.33
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.67
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Loss	✓	0.72	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.76

Sebastian Grøndal

dropped • 3-2-1

67%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

2.8

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Bino Nolting (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Michal Michalowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Oleg Zabalujev (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs CHRISTOS KOSTAKIS (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Arturs Melnikovs (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Rokas Pocius (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	55%	Draw	✓	0.56	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.25
R3	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.56	0.59
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.64
R6	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-

Evan Tanguy

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

3.1

Surp

1.0

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Paweł Kręcki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50

70:30

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 72:28

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Alessandro Altieri (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Arthur Trehet (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63

70:30

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Maxime Dumas (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.1 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Levia, Shadowborn Abomination	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.16
R3	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	35%	Win	✗	0.63	0.72
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Riptide, Lurker of the Deep	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R6	CC	Bravo, Showstopper	70%	Loss	✓	0.70	-

Lorenzo Tarateta

dropped • 3-3-0

67%

Meta

-0.2

Perf

2.6

Surp

0.9

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Lukasz Ziemba (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Unknown)

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eric Plaschnick (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Marc Alexandre (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Dario Vegh (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.13
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Win	✓	0.33	0.29
R4	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.52
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R6	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Jonathan Van den Wyngaerde

dropped • 1-5-0

100%

Meta

-2.3

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.3

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Brüssau (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Melvin van Gijn (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

65:35

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Natan Tomeo (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Michal Krzywdzinski (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Zafri Jeffri (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (6/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.32
R3	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	65%	Loss	✓	0.67	-
R4	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

David Chirulescu

dropped • 2-3-0

80%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.4

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Yassine Echafai Tripiana (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Albertas pocius (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Lukavsky (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Tim Heibrok (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Martin Holík (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

80% (4/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.31
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.68
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

David Dyson

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrej Narjas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Holden (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Martin Petersson (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs George Chew (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Piotr Krzempek (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.15
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Uzuri, Switchblade	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.51
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Szots Daniel

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.7

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Christian Jelle (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Andres Sandoval Mendez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Yorick Schulte (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Frank CLEMENT (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.19
R2	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.46
R4	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Stuart Turner

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kamil Rejman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 44:56

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Maurice Philip (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Fröberg (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Johannes Klaus (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 31:69

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.44	-
R2	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R4	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-

Kamil "Kaka" Żerek

dropped • 0-3-0

33%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Diego Paoletti (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Ian Zhang (Unknown)

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Grzegorz Kowalski (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 42:58

Meta Fit

33% (1/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	40%	Loss	✗	0.42	-

Manfred Eregger

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.6

Perf

1.6

Surp

0.0

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Piotr Stelmach (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 59:41

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Stefano Parisotto (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Krzysztof Rybczyński (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 45:55

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.6 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R2	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.