Vynnset, Iron Maiden
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
83rd • 6-6-0
83%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
5.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kanaris Bounas (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jan Kučera (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Niklas Bengtsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Mulato (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stefan Karlsson (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Win vs Kacper Fleszar (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Morris Prem (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michaele Teppa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jean Luka Zorko (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Eric Steuer (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Juha Saarnilampi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jascha Werth (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (6.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
85th • 6-6-0
92%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bence Vereszki (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
Round 2: Loss vs Tim Dasiukevich (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Makowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Clément Maillet (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rokas Jaskevičius (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 55:45
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marcel Harz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kalle Kivilahti (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Round 8: Loss vs Romans Asachovs (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Ville Teräväinen (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jan Eid (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)
Round 12: Loss vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (7.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Bravo, Showstopper | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.6
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sylvain Poirree (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 19:81
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ania Grudnowska (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christof Scheidenberger (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Zafri Jeffri (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Francesco D'Amendola (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Winning (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sharif Shaaban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Piotr Zapała (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Piotr Przyczyna (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tom Tydecks (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andres Sandoval Mendez (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Draw |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marcello Mutalipassi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thorbjørn Lind Jensen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 31:69
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrzej Lamecki (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Sammy Weckx (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Andrius Pečiulis (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Rokas Pocius (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Matecki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Haik Voskerchian (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Mulato (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Round 4: Loss vs Csaba "Cranta" Dezső (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.