Bravo, Showstopper
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
54th • 8-4-0
33%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.7
Surp
5.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Stijn Borkelmans (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maximilian Schmidt (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs René Schep (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Albert GUYO (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Artur Wysocki (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Paul Szydlak (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Round 7: Win vs Patryk Gułaś (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Maximilian Klein (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mateusz Mazur (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 23:77
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Mirko Dolce (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jascha Werth (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 12: Win vs Maciej Kołątaj (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
58th • 7-4-1
33%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
6.3
Surp
3.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Max Dieckmann (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Krystian Sitarski (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Piotr Chudobinski (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tommaso Viscido (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Maciej Graszek (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
Round 6: Win vs Michaele Teppa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Suciu Andrei (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bartosz Dominiak (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nikola Kramarić (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Romans Asachovs (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Adam Urban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Draw vs Juha Saarnilampi (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Draw |
dropped • 7-4-0
36%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Paul Petersson-Rebelo (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexandru Cucereanu (Viserai, Rune Blood) - Expected: 44:56
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pablo Pintor (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vasilis Kirlis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sergio Sanz Guerrero (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Round 6: Win vs Evan Tanguy (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Viliam Kubik (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kevin Gehringer (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hanno Lünser (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 10: Win vs Riccardo Di Cesare (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Johannes Schorpp (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
36% (4/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Viserai, Rune Blood | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ilias Karamanis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yahir Peñarrubia (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Denis Mandrysz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Win vs Paweł Romanowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michał Rzepczyński (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marco Lettieri (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mariusz Wojciechowski (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dennis Krstic (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michał Biereg (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrej Marčan (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rob Catton (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Julien Erdreich (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Arian Sultani (Unknown)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs simon haesaerts (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pawel Kosminski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Win vs Bartosz Witecki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Knowelden (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Mikael Borg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Oguz Delice (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Łukasz Cichecki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-1
86%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yorgos Samaras (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs pantelis kasarakis (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Diran Bajwa (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jachym Flidr (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Wojciech Andrusewicz (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs GDPR-DEL-06/18/24-15:32:27 GDPR-DEL-06/18/24-15:32:27 (Unknown)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Paweł Kręcki (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Roman Legíň (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dean Flanagan (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marcin Pelzner (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ivan Bötschi (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Carles Torres (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 69:31
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mariusz Wojciechowski (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Bergström (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeppe Madsen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vasilis Kirlis (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Win vs Adam Makowski (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tudor Serban (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Preyer (Dash I/O) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Miller (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.